Recommendation 1 · WIN
R4 · Ndola
16.5% assessed win chance · $13.00
Repeated straight 1200m achievement and latest win under 61.5kg, now 58kg; access and lane formation remain uncertain.
Dated fixed WIN · Saturday 31 October 2026, 7:33:35 am AEDT
Saturday 31 October 2026
Saturday 31 October 2026 · 9:32 am base edition · R3/R6 amendment prepared 2:48 pm AEDT
Only R3 and R6 amended after approval at 2:46 pm AEDT. R3 is a historical correction published after its 1:40 pm scheduled start, NOT a publicly available pre-race forecast; original 9:32 am public forecast retained below for scoring. R6 is a prospective amendment before its 3:40 pm scheduled start. Both remain PASS. Seven main selections and awards are unchanged.
Good 4, rail true. Saturday 31 October 6 am inspection. Official fields finalised 7:45 am, scratching sheet published 7:47 am and retrieved 9:27 am AEDT; no further primary-book withdrawals or late rider alterations reported. Later official sheet published 12:03 pm, retrieved 12:29 pm: Anglais R3 and Doubt Time R6 withdrawn.
TAB fixed WIN snapshots Saturday 31 October: R1 7:35:21am; R3 7:35:41am; R4 7:33:35am; R5 7:33:50am AEDT. Other prices omitted rather than presented as current. Prices can change; refunds and deductions apply. R3/R6 amended books publish no verified current quotes; anomalous 12:32 pm displays withheld. Original R3 quotes appear only in the preserved historical forecast.
Former emergency admissions are resolved by the finalised race-specific fields: Girl With A Pearl (R3), Scheelite and King Zephyr (R5), and Meet The Prince (R7) participate. Historical alternative books are not current fields. Later scratchings or conditions may still change.
Only the selections we recommend. Other races are PASS for betting, not missing analysis. WIN only; no each-way recommendation.
Recommendation 1 · WIN
16.5% assessed win chance · $13.00
Repeated straight 1200m achievement and latest win under 61.5kg, now 58kg; access and lane formation remain uncertain.
Dated fixed WIN · Saturday 31 October 2026, 7:33:35 am AEDT
Recommendation 2 · WIN
12% assessed win chance · $17.00
Close current Moonga fourth, now 53kg: 4kg better relative to remaining rival Private Eye. War Machine has withdrawn. Amenable retains a credible winning case, with starting and access risks already considered.
Dated fixed WIN · Saturday 31 October 2026, 7:33:50 am AEDT
Stevie’s Play
16.5% · $13.00 · WIN
Repeated straight 1200m achievement and latest win under 61.5kg, now 58kg; access and lane formation remain uncertain.
Paddy’s Pick
13% · $10.00 · WIN alternative
Close current Moonga third, now 54.5kg and 4kg better relative to remaining rival Private Eye. War Machine is scratched. Optional alternative to Amenable, not an extra main bet.
Stevie’s Play highlights the best main recommendation. Paddy’s Pick is an optional alternative, not an extra main bet.
Race 1 · 12:20PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
UnhingedBet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Unhinged remains the leading current comparison. Cab Franc’s withdrawal modestly reduces forward congestion, helping High Falls, Conquer The World, Fast Freddie and Tuzemak; other forward routes remain. Glenorchy and The Roaring Sun still need to settle. R1 remains a betting PASS rather than a forced replacement. At the refreshed odds the leading cases remain short; Glenorchy (14%, $9) is a credible alternative opinion, not an active bet. PASS is not a claim that no runner could offer value.
Field scenario: Nine remaining acceptors; Mister Whiskers, Star Of Macedon and Cab Franc scratched. No emergencies.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Unhinged | 24.5% | 2 | 57 | $2.70 |
| 3 | High Falls | 17% | 4 | 57 | $4.40 |
| 9 | Conquer The World | 14.5% | 3 | 57 | $5.50 |
| 6 | Glenorchy | 14% | 8 | 57 | $9.00 |
| 4 | Fast Freddie | 8.5% | 11 | 57 | $15.00 |
| 5 | Strong Tempo | 7% | 10 | 57 | $23.00 |
| 10 | The Roaring Sun | 6.5% | 9 | 57 | $5.00 |
| 12 | Tuzemak | 6% | 7 | 55 | $61.00 |
| 8 | Zoehrer | 2% | 5 | 57 | $41.00 |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · 31 October 2026, 7:35:21am AEDT. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 2 · 1:00PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
Regal AmbitionBet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Full-field assessment retained from adopted Thursday review.
Field scenario: Current main acceptors only; every included runner assumed to take this engagement. Emergencies excluded as unadmitted, not assigned zero ability.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regal Ambition | 24% | 7 | 57.5 | Not quoted |
| 2 | I Am Aria | 14.5% | 11 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 3 | Affari | 7% | 13 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 4 | Pin Up Sheila | 18.5% | 5 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Beautiful You (NZ) | 6% | 6 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Shintono (NZ) | 4% | 1 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 7 | Consulate | 3% | 8 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Autumn Lover | 10% | 9 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Youmzaa (NZ) | 2% | 12 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 10 | Divine Eruption | 5% | 3 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 11 | Miss Dividend | 2.5% | 4 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 12 | Blue Dream | 1% | 10 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Full Confidence | 2.5% | 2 | 56 | Not quoted |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · No refreshed quote published for this race. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 3 · 1:40PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
IceladyBet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Anglais has withdrawn. The leading achieved class/task cases remain Icelady 17.5%, Your Colour 17%, De Armas 13.5%, Tharwa 13%, Voynichese 9% and Autumn In Grinzing 9%. Removing a midfield/advancing rival does not establish a slower pace or an automatic clear run. The strongest staying/class cases retain priority over developmental maiden routes. PASS remains: no new main endorsement, not a claim that every runner is poor value at every price.
Field scenario: Finalised starter field less confirmed late withdrawal; no eliminated emergency reinstated.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Icelady | 17.5% | 6 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Your Colour | 17% | 19 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 3 | De Armas (NZ) | 13.5% | 8 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 11 | Tharwa | 13% | 18 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 4 | Voynichese | 9% | 12 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Autumn In Grinzing | 9% | 1 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Churchill Rose | 5.5% | 7 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 7 | Sumac | 4% | 3 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Adakite | 2% | 5 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 2 | Grinzinger Heart | 1.5% | 9 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 12 | Nikitria | 1.5% | 11 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 14 | Endless Fury | 1.5% | 2 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 19e | Girl With A Pearl · Starter retained after official finalisation; other reserves eliminated. | 1.5% | 4 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 15 | So Royal | 1% | 10 | 55.5 | Not quoted |
| 16 | Shameful Impulse | 1% | 21 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 17 | Quynh | 1% | 16 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 18 | Autumn Deel | 0.5% | 20 | 55 | Not quoted |
Fringilla removes an achieved 2000m contender. Girl With A Pearl has an improving 1700m maiden route but less established staying-class performance. Your Colour and Tharwa retain strong direct 2000m cases; Icelady and De Armas bring higher-class mile evidence with a distance extension. No automatic pace collapse or traffic refund. At $6, Your Colour is approximately fair against the 16.5% assessment; Tharwa at $9 offers a modest subjective surplus, not strong proof of reliable value. The longer-priced alternatives retain credible routes without becoming main recommendations. PASS remains.
Original stance: PASS. Original rated: Icelady. For R3 public pre-race scoring, use this original forecast, not the later correction.
Original quote timing: 31 October 2026, 7:35:41am AEDT. These are historical, not current odds.
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · No verified current quote published; 12:32 pm TAB display was internally inconsistent and withheld. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 4 · 2:20PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
NdolaBet recommendation
Ndola · WINKing Zephyr’s withdrawal removes a late-running rival, not a principal pace source. Ndola retains the strongest replicated straight-1200m case, with a current win at 61.5kg and 58kg here. Straight-group formation and access remain uncertain; original gate 19 is not a lane-bias guarantee.
Repeated straight 1200m achievement and latest win under 61.5kg, now 58kg; access and lane formation remain uncertain.
Field scenario: Nineteen remaining runners; King Zephyr scratched from R4. No emergency additions.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ndola | 16.5% | 19 | 58 | $13.00 |
| 7 | Disneck | 11.5% | 12 | 56.5 | Not quoted |
| 20 | Hankee Alpha (NZ) | 11% | 4 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 10 | Golden Straand | 9% | 13 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 1 | Hedged | 6.5% | 15 | 60 | Not quoted |
| 3 | Grand Larceny | 6.5% | 6 | 59 | Not quoted |
| 2 | Napoleonic | 5% | 5 | 59.5 | Not quoted |
| 17 | The Cosmic One | 5% | 17 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Gallant Son | 4.5% | 3 | 57.5 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Sweynesday (NZ) | 4% | 10 | 58 | Not quoted |
| 16 | Celsius Star | 4% | 18 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 19 | Verdoux | 4% | 7 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Meridius | 3% | 11 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Watchme Win | 3% | 1 | 56.5 | Not quoted |
| 14 | Grand Impact (NZ) | 2% | 20 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 11 | De Bergerac | 1.5% | 2 | 54.5 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Klabel (NZ) | 1.5% | 14 | 54.5 | Not quoted |
| 15 | Jenni The Fox | 1% | 8 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 18 | Jimmy Recard | 0.5% | 16 | 54 | Not quoted |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · 31 October 2026, 7:33:35am AEDT. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 5 · 3:00PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
Private EyeBet recommendation
Amenable · WINWar Machine’s withdrawal removes a strong current 1400m rival. King Zephyr’s repeated 1300–1400m ability and restricted fresh sprint make this assignment credible at 53kg, but the direct current Moonga/Weekend Hussler quartet remains stronger. Forward options remain; no easy-lead or automatic traffic bonus. Private Eye is Rated, Amenable the main WIN recommendation, Hughes the optional alternative.
Close current Moonga fourth, now 53kg: 4kg better relative to remaining rival Private Eye. War Machine has withdrawn. Amenable retains a credible winning case, with starting and access risks already considered.
Paddy’s Pick · optional alternative: Hughes. Close current Moonga third, now 54.5kg and 4kg better relative to remaining rival Private Eye. War Machine is scratched. Optional alternative to Amenable, not an extra main bet. Not an extra main recommendation.
Field scenario: Current 16-runner field includes Scheelite and King Zephyr. Pericles, War Machine and Estremo scratched.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Private Eye | 13.5% | 11 | 59 | Not quoted |
| 10 | Hughes | 13% | 6 | 54.5 | $10.00 |
| 11 | Steparty | 12% | 14 | 54.5 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Amenable | 12% | 8 | 53 | $17.00 |
| 7 | Cote Atlantique (IRE) | 7.5% | 17 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 12 | Persian Spirit | 7.5% | 5 | 54 | Not quoted |
| 18e | King Zephyr · Included in current finalised field | 7% | 13 | 53 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Here To Shock (NZ) | 5% | 10 | 55.5 | Not quoted |
| 17e | Scheelite · Included in current finalised field | 5% | 4 | 53 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Warnie (IRE) | 4.5% | 1 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 16 | Recon | 4% | 16 | 53 | Not quoted |
| 4 | Desert Lightning (NZ) | 3.5% | 12 | 57.5 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Cafe Millenium | 2% | 19 | 54.5 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Welwal (GB) | 1.5% | 15 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 14 | Holymanz (NZ) | 1% | 9 | 53 | Not quoted |
| 15 | Zou Sensation | 1% | 7 | 53 | Not quoted |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · 31 October 2026, 7:33:50am AEDT. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 6 · 3:40PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
Satono Glow (NZ)Bet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Doubt Time has withdrawn. Satono Glow 18% and St Gotthard 15% retain the strongest achieved 1200m/class cases, followed by The Next Episode 13.5% and Natural Fling 9.5%. Removing a slow-mustering closer does not remove the principal pace: Paradoxium, Natural Fling and Pembrey retain forward possibilities. No automatic leader upgrade or free closing passage is assumed. PASS remains: no new main endorsement, not a claim that every runner is poor value at every price.
Field scenario: Finalised starter field less confirmed late withdrawal; no eliminated emergency reinstated.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Next Episode | 13.5% | 14 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 2 | Paradoxium | 7.5% | 13 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 3 | Alibaba | 4.5% | 11 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 4 | Stretan Ruler | 5% | 5 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 5 | St Gotthard | 15% | 6 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Marffiano | 6% | 3 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 7 | Under Focus | 4% | 1 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Steel Will | 6.5% | 10 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Mbube | 3% | 7 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 10 | The Machine Gun | 2.5% | 2 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 12 | Natural Fling | 9.5% | 8 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Satono Glow (NZ) | 18% | 4 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 14 | Pembrey | 5% | 9 | 55 | Not quoted |
Full-field assessment retained from adopted Thursday review.
Original stance: PASS. Original rated: Satono Glow (NZ). For R3 public pre-race scoring, use this original forecast, not the later correction.
Original quote timing: No refreshed quote published for this race. These are historical, not current odds.
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · No verified current quote published; 12:32 pm TAB display was internally inconsistent and withheld. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 7 · 4:20PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
CormierBet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Full-field assessment retained from adopted Thursday review.
Field scenario: Current 16-runner field includes Meet The Prince. Hierarchy scratched; Locked In eliminated.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cormier | 13% | 3 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 2 | Stormy Marco | 12% | 16 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 3 | True Rebel | 9% | 17 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 4 | King Snitz | 10% | 6 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Murshidi | 7% | 18 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Vallice | 8% | 14 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 7 | Skua | 6% | 13 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Cignetti (NZ) | 8% | 12 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Icy You | 6% | 10 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 10 | True Tone | 6% | 15 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 12 | Written Empire | 1.5% | 2 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Russian Rock | 1.5% | 7 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 14 | Cold Shower | 1% | 5 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 15 | King Winston | 1% | 9 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 16 | Quick Finish | 9% | 11 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 17e | Meet The Prince · Included in current finalised field | 1% | 1 | 57 | Not quoted |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · No refreshed quote published for this race. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 8 · 5:00PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
Lady ShenandoahBet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Full-field assessment retained from adopted Thursday review.
Field scenario: Current main acceptors only; every included runner assumed to take this engagement. Emergencies excluded as unadmitted, not assigned zero ability.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Shenandoah | 27% | 8 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 2 | Idle Flyer | 10% | 7 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 3 | Surfin’ Bird | 23% | 9 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 4 | Cilacap | 5% | 4 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Unleeshing | 9.5% | 10 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Pondalowie | 2% | 11 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 7 | Jenni Multabella (NZ) | 1% | 2 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Salty Pearl | 2% | 1 | 56.5 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Sass Appeal | 8% | 5 | 56.5 | Not quoted |
| 10 | Concord Connie | 4% | 6 | 56.5 | Not quoted |
| 11 | Pillow Fight | 8.5% | 3 | 56.5 | Not quoted |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · No refreshed quote published for this race. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.
Race 9 · 5:40PM AEDT
Rated · leading win assessment
Flying For FunBet recommendation
PASSNo main bet recommended. Ratings below are opinions, not invitations to back every race.
Flying For Fun retains the strongest direct 1100m and course comparison. Generosity was not a principal recent pace source; several forward runners remain. The current sprint performers receive modestly stronger chances, without assuming easier leads or guaranteed clear runs. No main bet.
Field scenario: Sixteen remaining acceptors; Generosity and Tres Magnifique scratched. No emergencies.
| No. | Horse | P(win) | Gate | Expected kg | Recorded WIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Flying For Fun | 16% | 16 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 9 | Gentle Steel | 13.5% | 17 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 3 | Inkaruna | 11.5% | 10 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 10 | Bridal Waltz | 9% | 3 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 11 | Eagle Express | 9% | 6 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 5 | Naifah | 8.5% | 4 | 57 | Not quoted |
| 15 | Photograph | 7% | 12 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 17 | Nepo Baby | 5.5% | 13 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 13 | Swift Force | 4.5% | 9 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 16 | Agarwood | 4% | 15 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 1 | Geegees Mistruth | 3.5% | 14 | 59 | Not quoted |
| 6 | Thanks Gorgeous | 2% | 8 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 7 | Hearcomesthestar | 2% | 11 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 14 | Silver Wedding | 2% | 2 | 55 | Not quoted |
| 8 | Precious Charm | 1% | 1 | 56 | Not quoted |
| 12 | Xarpo | 1% | 7 | 55 | Not quoted |
Dated fixed WIN snapshot · No refreshed quote published for this race. Expected weights are declarations, not confirmed race-day weigh-out.